This Week's Picks
Merab Dvalishvili vs Henry Cejudo
July 10, 2026
The consensus moneyline shows Cejudo as a -227 favorite (implying ~69% win probability) while Dvalishvili sits at +160 underdog odds (implying ~38% win probability). These odds...
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Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista
July 5, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -149 for Cory Sandhagen implies a break-even probability of approximately 59.8%, meaning the market prices him as a moderate favorite. Converting Mario...
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Brandon Royval vs Lone’er Kavanagh
July 5, 2026
The consensus moneyline has Kavanagh as a -227 favorite, which implies approximately 69.4% win probability, while Royval’s +185 underdog position suggests roughly 35.1% implied probability. This...
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King Green vs Terrance Mckinney
July 5, 2026
The consensus moneylines imply a probability of approximately 55% for McKinney (-154) and 44% for Green (+126). McKinney’s implied probability is derived from -154/(−154+100) = 0.606,...
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Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov
July 5, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -161 for Robert Whittaker implies an approximate 61.7% probability of victory, while Nikita Krylov’s +136 odds imply roughly 38.3%. This 23-point spread...
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Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison
July 4, 2026
Gable Steveson enters as a heavy favorite at -2500 moneyline, which implies approximately 96.2% win probability. This reflects his elite wrestling pedigree (Olympic gold medalist), superior...
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Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez
July 4, 2026
Adrian Yanez carries consensus moneyline odds of -417, which translates to an implied probability of approximately 80.6% (417/(417+100)). Cody Garbrandt’s +310 odds imply roughly 24.4% probability....
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Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka
July 4, 2026
Luke Riley’s -312 moneyline implies a 75.8% probability of victory according to the sportsbooks, while Kai Kamaka’s +250 odds represent roughly a 28.6% implied win probability....
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Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong
July 4, 2026
At -110 moneylines for both fighters, the implied probability for each side is approximately 52.4%, suggesting the market views this as a competitive matchup with a...
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Legacy pick 7 (pre-automation)
July 4, 2026
Pick from the manually tracked record that predates the automated pipeline. Imported for track-record continuity.
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