This Week's Picks
Legacy pick 6 (pre-automation)
July 4, 2026
Pick from the manually tracked record that predates the automated pipeline. Imported for track-record continuity.
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Ryan Gandra vs Zachary Reese
July 4, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -154 for Ryan Gandra implies a probability of approximately 60.6%, while Zachary Reese’s +135 line suggests roughly 42.6% implied probability (with the...
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Cody Durden vs Alessandro Costa
July 4, 2026
The consensus moneyline shows Costa as a -263 favorite (implying ~72.5% win probability) while Durden sits at +210 (implying ~32.3% win probability). This represents a significant...
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Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor
July 4, 2026
The consensus moneylines imply Max Holloway at approximately 70% win probability (-233 converts to 0.700) versus Conor McGregor at 34% (converts to 0.340). The 4% discrepancy...
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Paddy Pimblett vs Benoit Saint-Denis
July 4, 2026
The consensus odds show Benoit Saint-Denis as the favored fighter at -154, implying approximately 60.6% implied probability of victory. Conversely, Paddy Pimblett’s +130 moneyline translates to...
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Oscar Ownsworth vs Gabriele Galluccio
July 3, 2026
The consensus moneylines imply a 54.3% probability for Galluccio (-125) and a 48.8% probability for Ownsworth (+105). This leaves approximately 3% vigorish (sportsbook margin). Ownsworth’s +105...
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Geoff Pavey vs David Allen
July 3, 2026
Geoff Pavey’s -143 moneyline implies a 58.9% win probability, while David Allen’s +130 line implies a 43.5% probability. The consensus market has installed Pavey as a...
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Damiano Scogna vs Rony Henrique
July 3, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -278 for Damiano Scogna implies a break-even probability of approximately 73.5% (calculated as 278/(278+100)). This represents strong market confidence in Scogna as...
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Anas Nfaou vs Randy Mboyo
July 3, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -156 for Anas Nfaou implies a win probability of approximately 60.9% (calculated as 156/(156+100)). Conversely, Randy Mboyo at +140 carries an implied...
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Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia Jr.
June 21, 2026
UFC Freedom 250 · UFC Fight Pass Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia Jr. PICK: Diego Lopes · Confidence: 60% Diego Lopes 57%Steve Garcia Jr. 43% Lopes...
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