This Week's Picks

Frankie Edgar vs Clay Guida

July 18, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -278 for Frankie Edgar implies a break-even probability of approximately 73.6% (278/(278+100)). This reflects significant market confidence in Edgar’s superiority, likely based...
Read ›

Arman Tsarukyan vs Colby Covington

July 18, 2026
Arman Tsarukyan’s moneyline of -588 implies a win probability of approximately 85.4% (calculated as 588/(588+100)). Colby Covington’s +425 odds imply roughly 19.0% probability. The significant gap...
Read ›

Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman

July 11, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -263 for Dricus Du Plessis implies an approximate win probability of 72.5% (263/(263+100)). At -263, the sportsbook is pricing Du Plessis as...
Read ›

Merab Dvalishvili vs Henry Cejudo

July 10, 2026
The consensus moneyline shows Cejudo as a -227 favorite (implying ~69% win probability) while Dvalishvili sits at +160 underdog odds (implying ~38% win probability). These odds...
Read ›

Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista

July 5, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -149 for Cory Sandhagen implies a break-even probability of approximately 59.8%, meaning the market prices him as a moderate favorite. Converting Mario...
Read ›

Brandon Royval vs Lone’er Kavanagh

July 5, 2026
The consensus moneyline has Kavanagh as a -227 favorite, which implies approximately 69.4% win probability, while Royval’s +185 underdog position suggests roughly 35.1% implied probability. This...
Read ›

King Green vs Terrance Mckinney

July 5, 2026
The consensus moneylines imply a probability of approximately 55% for McKinney (-154) and 44% for Green (+126). McKinney’s implied probability is derived from -154/(−154+100) = 0.606,...
Read ›

Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov

July 5, 2026
The consensus moneyline of -161 for Robert Whittaker implies an approximate 61.7% probability of victory, while Nikita Krylov’s +136 odds imply roughly 38.3%. This 23-point spread...
Read ›

Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison

July 4, 2026
Gable Steveson enters as a heavy favorite at -2500 moneyline, which implies approximately 96.2% win probability. This reflects his elite wrestling pedigree (Olympic gold medalist), superior...
Read ›

Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez

July 4, 2026
Adrian Yanez carries consensus moneyline odds of -417, which translates to an implied probability of approximately 80.6% (417/(417+100)). Cody Garbrandt’s +310 odds imply roughly 24.4% probability....
Read ›